The Fed’s website can be accessed here (click link). It’s calendar is listed below:
The Fed’s centralized record of communication from its participants can be accessed via Fed Speak:
A few sources I like to keep on top of when Fed Watching:
- CME Fed Watch
- Tim Duy’s Fed Watch
- Tim Duy’s Bloomberg Page
- Hilsenrath’s Artciles
- Atlanta Fed’s GDP Now Forecasting
Dove or Hawk?
|Janet Yellen||Chair, Voting Member||Dove|
|William Dudley||Vice Chairman, Voting Member||Dove|
|Lael Brainard||Voting Member||Dove|
|James Bullard||Voting Member||Centrist|
|Stanley Fischer||Voting Member||Centrist|
|Esther George||Voting Member||Hawk|
|Loretta Mester||Voting Member||Hawk|
|Jerome Powell||Voting Member||Hawk|
|Eric Rosengren||Voting Member||Dove|
|Daniel Tarullo||Voting Member||Dove|
|Charles Evans||Alternate Member||Dove|
|Patrick Harker||Alternate Member||Dove|
|Robert Kaplan||Alternate Member||Dove|
|Neel Kashkari||Alternate Member||?|
|Michael Strine||Alternate Member||?|
|Jeffery Lacker||President of Richmond Fed||Hawk|
|Dennis Lockhart||President of Atlanta Fed||?|
|John Williams||President of San Francisco Fed||Centrist|
The above was compiled based on my own sentiment. However, here are some other older sources that I have found on the internet:
These are measures based on qualitative information, however; to quantify them, with the advancements of machine learning and artificial intelligence, one can employ tools such as natural language processing.
There has also been a book published in this area (click link):
- Hansen, S & McMahon & Prat, A. (2015) “Transparency and Deliberation within the FOMC: a Computational Linguistics Approach”
- Malmendier, Nagel & Yan (2016). “The Making of Hawks and Doves: Inflation Experiences and Voting on the FOMC”.
- Tang, T. (2014) “FOMC Communication and Interest Rate Sensitivity to News”. Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
- Thornton, D. & Wheelock, D. (2014) “Making Sense of Dissents: A History of FOMC Dissents”. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, Third Quarter 2014, 96(3), pp. 213-27.